三十多年来专注于钢管的生产研制

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中国钢铁行业市场深度分析及发展前景预测

文章出处:   责任编辑:   发布时间:2019/6/21 21:51:21    分享:

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钢铁行业正在迎来新一轮“大考”。

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此外,严禁新增钢铁产能和严防已关停产能复产,已成为今年国家及地方政府相关部门的一项关键任务。摆在整个钢铁行业、企业面前的,同样也是一场严峻的考验。

从近期公布的上市钢企2019年一季度业绩预告中可以看出,净利润均呈下滑态势,其中,鞍钢股份(股票代码:000898)、柳钢股份(601003)、太钢不锈(000825)等钢铁上市公司一季度净利润预计同比下降70%左右。

中钢协副会长屈秀丽说,目前钢企融资仍较困难,去杠杆难度加大。近年来钢企效益虽然好转,但问题仍在,去年支付财务费用就达800亿元左右。去杠杆仍是一项重要任务。我们的工作目标是用3-5年时间将负债率降到60%以下。不过,随着企业盈利水平的下降,去杠杆工作将更加艰难。

工信部原材料工业司巡视员吕桂新认为,目前我国钢铁行业距高质量发展要求还有较大差距。由于内外形势复杂,行业稳增长压力较大,且产能扩张冲动明显,尤其是在市场高利润驱动下,部分地区和企业投资钢铁意愿增强,违法违规建设问题时有发生。

“严禁新增产能已成为巩固钢铁去产能成果的关键。由于粗钢产量再创历史新高,后续合规产能的持续释放及产能利用率提高,现有供需平衡态势有可能被再次打破。”吕桂新说。

据悉,下一步国家相关部门将针对钢铁行业兼并重组出台有关指导意见,以进一步完善政策条件,尤其是将按照市场化运作方式,解决当前行业面临的跨区域、跨所有制兼并重组等难题。

供需博弈


钢铁供需之间的博弈在日益显现。尽管钢铁去产能任务已经完成,但在利益诱惑下,企业扩产冲动仍在,整个行业的产量也在保持持续增长。

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